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Valuing Turnkey Online Businesses

Introduction.

Buying a turnkey online business is, in almost every case, like buying a turnkey off-line business. The value of a business is determined by its future earnings stream. Since no one knows what the future brings, you need to look at past and potential performance.

Past and Potential Earnings.

Future earnings are often based on past earnings. This occurs if the business and industry are fairly stable. However, when appropriate, it is also based on future earnings. This depends on the buyer improving earnings, by changing the business. Investment needed to achieve the future earnings is another consideration.

Price & Earnings Ratios.

The stock market provides one indication of how companies are valued. They use price divided by yearly earnings. This is a multiple for earnings, when a business is profitable. Multiples of ten to thirty times annual earnings aren't uncommon, depending on how the market evaluates the firm's future prospects.

Small, private, companies don't usually achieve the earnings multiples of highly liquid, public firms. However, an earnings multiple of less than one is very unusual. This is seen only if the company was expected to go in the tank very soon. Valuing a website, at three months earnings, gives a P/E ratio of .25. A P/E of 25, for a modestly profitable public firm, is a hundred times higher.

Return on investment.

Another way to look at valuation is simply the return to the owner. If an owner plans to cash out a website, he probably has other investment opportunities with better yields.

Suppose an owner has a website generating a monthly profit of $100. If they sell it for 10 months profit ($1000), he needs to invest that money in something else. If the "something else" is a bank account, he expects only a few percent of return, per year. The monthly return drops from $100 to, say, $3. That is not a good deal.

Size of the turnkey online business.

Size is a factor, too. Consider very small deals, where a site is making or losing a few hundred dollars per month. It is evaluated by serious buyers mainly for future potential. There is little regard for the current minimal earnings or losses.

Conclusion.

Website owners are not willing to sell, for a price equivalent to a few months earnings. If they do, they are either really desperate or know something the buyer doesn't. Perhaps the site is highly dependent on unstable backlinks. Or, their affiliate relationship will change dramatically.

As a buyer, you look for desperate buyers. However, for valuable websites, do not expect to pay the price you want. If you are willing to buy it, so are many others. Be fair when valuing a turnkey online businesses, and they will be fair in return.


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